{"id":997,"date":"2026-07-29T08:10:48","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T12:10:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/currentmaple.com\/?p=997"},"modified":"2026-07-29T08:16:45","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T12:16:45","slug":"toronto-mayoral-poll-chow-bradford","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/currentmaple.com\/?p=997","title":{"rendered":"Toronto Mayoral Poll: Chow Leads Bradford by 8 Points"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"997\" class=\"elementor elementor-997\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-34ec567b e-con e-atomic-element e-flexbox-base e-34ec567b-2322598 \" data-id=\"34ec567b\" data-element_type=\"e-flexbox\" data-e-type=\"e-flexbox\" data-interaction-id=\"34ec567b\">\n    \t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-490cca7d elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"490cca7d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1183\" height=\"663\" src=\"https:\/\/currentmaple.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Bradford-and-Chow.png\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-999\" alt=\"Brad Bradford portrait tied to Toronto mayoral poll numbers\" srcset=\"https:\/\/currentmaple.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Bradford-and-Chow.png 1183w, https:\/\/currentmaple.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Bradford-and-Chow-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/currentmaple.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Bradford-and-Chow-1024x574.png 1024w, https:\/\/currentmaple.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Bradford-and-Chow-768x430.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1183px) 100vw, 1183px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">Brad Bradford portrait tied to Toronto mayoral poll numbers<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6eec578 e-con e-atomic-element e-flexbox-base e-6eec578-c085a52 \" data-id=\"6eec578\" data-element_type=\"e-flexbox\" data-e-type=\"e-flexbox\" data-interaction-id=\"6eec578\">\n    \t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-46f0eae0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"46f0eae0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-407e0124 e-con e-atomic-element e-flexbox-base e-407e0124-1148a1e \" data-id=\"407e0124\" data-element_type=\"e-flexbox\" data-e-type=\"e-flexbox\" data-interaction-id=\"407e0124\">\n    \t\t\t<h2 data-interaction-id=\"5277d754\" class=\"e-5277d754-5ce7367 e-heading-base\">Toronto Mayoral Poll: Chow Leads Bradford by 8 Points<\/h2>\n\t\t\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-22315aed e-con e-atomic-element e-flexbox-base e-22315aed-faa5c9f \" data-id=\"22315aed\" data-element_type=\"e-flexbox\" data-e-type=\"e-flexbox\" data-interaction-id=\"22315aed\">\n    \t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2b42bf4f elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"2b42bf4f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2f6e3851 e-con e-atomic-element e-flexbox-base e-2f6e3851-e680be6 \" data-id=\"2f6e3851\" data-element_type=\"e-flexbox\" data-e-type=\"e-flexbox\" data-interaction-id=\"2f6e3851\">\n    \t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-30bc2bb2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"30bc2bb2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">A new <strong>Toronto mayoral poll<\/strong> shows Mayor <strong>Olivia Chow<\/strong> holding a steady lead over Councillor <strong>Brad Bradford<\/strong>, even though the city remains split on its overall direction. The survey, released this week, signals a race that has grown noticeably tighter since earlier this year.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">The Liaison Strategies <em>Toronto Pulse<\/em> survey polled 1,000 residents between July 24 and 26. Among decided and leaning voters, Chow sits at 49 per cent, while Bradford trails at 41 per cent. Other candidates combine for 10 per cent support.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">Interestingly, these figures closely match Liaison&#8217;s early-July results, when Chow also polled at 49 per cent and Bradford stood at 40 per cent. As a result, the race has remained largely stable over the past few weeks.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">When undecided voters are included, the numbers shift slightly. Chow holds 39 per cent support overall, Bradford sits at 33 per cent, and other candidates capture 8 per cent. Meanwhile, 20 per cent of respondents remain undecided, leaving room for movement before election day.<\/p><h3 class=\"text-text-100 mt-3 -mb-1 text-[1.125rem] font-bold\" dir=\"ltr\">City Split on Direction<\/h3><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">Perhaps the most striking finding involves how Torontonians view their city&#8217;s trajectory. According to the poll, 46 per cent believe Toronto is heading in the right direction, while another 46 per cent disagree. The remaining 8 per cent say they are unsure.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">This even split carries real political weight, <em>Liaison principal David Valentin<\/em> explains. Although Chow&#8217;s personal numbers remain stable, a divided public mood gives Bradford an opening to keep narrowing the gap.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">Indeed, Chow&#8217;s approval rating currently sits at 51 per cent, with 43 per cent disapproving of her performance. Consequently, her support base appears solid, yet not immune to the city&#8217;s broader uncertainty about its future.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">Valentin notes that this mixed sentiment often shapes municipal races more than personal approval alone. Therefore, Bradford&#8217;s campaign may lean heavily on voter frustration with city direction rather than direct criticism of Chow herself.<\/p><h3 class=\"text-text-100 mt-3 -mb-1 text-[1.125rem] font-bold\" dir=\"ltr\">Bradford Becoming More Defined to Voters<\/h3><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">As the campaign progresses, Bradford&#8217;s public profile continues to sharpen. His favourability rating has climbed to 31 per cent, up from 29 per cent in the previous poll. At the same time, his unfavourability has also risen, reaching 26 per cent.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">Notably, the share of voters unfamiliar with Bradford has dropped from 35 per cent to 31 per cent. This decline suggests he is steadily becoming a more recognizable challenger heading into the final stretch of the campaign.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">Valentin points out that rising favourability <em>and<\/em> unfavourability together often signal growing visibility. In other words, as more voters learn about Bradford, opinions naturally begin to solidify on both sides.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">This pattern is common among challengers gaining momentum. However, it also means Bradford must work carefully to convert new awareness into support, rather than simply generating stronger opposition among skeptical voters.<\/p><h3 class=\"text-text-100 mt-3 -mb-1 text-[1.125rem] font-bold\" dir=\"ltr\">Where Chow Holds Her Strongest Support<\/h3><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">Geographic breakdowns reveal where Chow&#8217;s advantage remains most pronounced. Across several key areas of the city, she continues to outperform Bradford among decided and leaning voters:<\/p><ul class=\"[li_&amp;]:mb-0 [li_&amp;]:mt-1 [li_&amp;]:gap-1 [&amp;:not(:last-child)_ul]:pb-1 [&amp;:not(:last-child)_ol]:pb-1 list-disc flex flex-col gap-1 pl-8 mb-3 print:block print:space-y-1\" dir=\"ltr\"><li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\"><strong>Downtown:<\/strong> Chow leads 55 per cent to 36 per cent<\/li><li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\"><strong>North York:<\/strong> Chow leads 52 per cent to 37 per cent<\/li><li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\"><strong>Scarborough:<\/strong> Chow leads 50 per cent to 41 per cent<\/li><\/ul><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">These regional numbers suggest Chow&#8217;s coalition remains broad, spanning both downtown and suburban areas. Still, Scarborough&#8217;s narrower margin hints at where Bradford&#8217;s campaign may be finding some early traction.<\/p><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" dir=\"ltr\">Overall, the poll paints a picture of a <em>stable but competitive<\/em> mayoral race. While Chow maintains a clear numerical edge, the city&#8217;s divided mood on direction leaves the contest far from settled. As Bradford&#8217;s profile continues to grow, the coming weeks will likely determine whether he can close the remaining gap.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brad Bradford portrait tied to Toronto mayoral poll numbers Toronto Mayoral Poll: Chow Leads Bradford by 8 Points A new Toronto mayoral poll shows Mayor Olivia Chow holding a steady lead over Councillor Brad Bradford, even though the city remains split on its overall direction. The survey, released this week, signals a race that has grown noticeably tighter since earlier this year. The Liaison Strategies Toronto Pulse survey polled 1,000 residents between July 24 and 26. Among decided and leaning voters, Chow sits at 49 per cent, while Bradford trails at 41 per cent. Other candidates combine for 10 per cent support. Interestingly, these figures closely match Liaison&#8217;s early-July results, when Chow also polled at 49 per cent and Bradford stood at 40 per cent. As a result, the race has remained largely stable over the past few weeks. When undecided voters are included, the numbers shift slightly. Chow holds 39 per cent support overall, Bradford sits at 33 per cent, and other candidates capture 8 per cent. Meanwhile, 20 per cent of respondents remain undecided, leaving room for movement before election day. City Split on Direction Perhaps the most striking finding involves how Torontonians view their city&#8217;s trajectory. According to the poll, 46 per cent believe Toronto is heading in the right direction, while another 46 per cent disagree. The remaining 8 per cent say they are unsure. This even split carries real political weight, Liaison principal David Valentin explains. Although Chow&#8217;s personal numbers remain stable, a divided public mood gives Bradford an opening to keep narrowing the gap. Indeed, Chow&#8217;s approval rating currently sits at 51 per cent, with 43 per cent disapproving of her performance. Consequently, her support base appears solid, yet not immune to the city&#8217;s broader uncertainty about its future. Valentin notes that this mixed sentiment often shapes municipal races more than personal approval alone. Therefore, Bradford&#8217;s campaign may lean heavily on voter frustration with city direction rather than direct criticism of Chow herself. Bradford Becoming More Defined to Voters As the campaign progresses, Bradford&#8217;s public profile continues to sharpen. His favourability rating has climbed to 31 per cent, up from 29 per cent in the previous poll. At the same time, his unfavourability has also risen, reaching 26 per cent. Notably, the share of voters unfamiliar with Bradford has dropped from 35 per cent to 31 per cent. This decline suggests he is steadily becoming a more recognizable challenger heading into the final stretch of the campaign. Valentin points out that rising favourability and unfavourability together often signal growing visibility. In other words, as more voters learn about Bradford, opinions naturally begin to solidify on both sides. This pattern is common among challengers gaining momentum. However, it also means Bradford must work carefully to convert new awareness into support, rather than simply generating stronger opposition among skeptical voters. Where Chow Holds Her Strongest Support Geographic breakdowns reveal where Chow&#8217;s advantage remains most pronounced. Across several key areas of the city, she continues to outperform Bradford among decided and leaning voters: Downtown: Chow leads 55 per cent to 36 per cent North York: Chow leads 52 per cent to 37 per cent Scarborough: Chow leads 50 per cent to 41 per cent These regional numbers suggest Chow&#8217;s coalition remains broad, spanning both downtown and suburban areas. Still, Scarborough&#8217;s narrower margin hints at where Bradford&#8217;s campaign may be finding some early traction. Overall, the poll paints a picture of a stable but competitive mayoral race. While Chow maintains a clear numerical edge, the city&#8217;s divided mood on direction leaves the contest far from settled. As Bradford&#8217;s profile continues to grow, the coming weeks will likely determine whether he can close the remaining gap.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":999,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,5,15,34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","category-canada","category-cities","category-data-insights"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Toronto Mayoral Poll: Chow Leads Bradford by 8 Points<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"New Toronto mayoral poll shows Olivia Chow ahead of Brad Bradford 49\u201341, as residents stay split on the city&#039;s direction.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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